ETHIOPIAN FORCES RETAKE MEKELLE AIRPORT AS TIGRAY CONFLICT ESCALATES

By Iroyin Yoruba Television

Ethiopian federal forces have reportedly retaken control of the main airport in Mekelle, the capital of the northern Tigray region, in a significant development that has intensified concerns over the renewed conflict between government forces and an alliance led by the Tigray People's Liberation Front.

The reported recapture of Alula Aba Nega Airport came on October 3, as fighting continued in parts of northern Ethiopia and the balance of control around Mekelle remained uncertain.

Residents and sources familiar with developments in the city said federal forces had regained control of the airport after Tigrayan fighters previously seized the facility. The Associated Press also reported that people in Mekelle confirmed the change in control.

However, the precise circumstances surrounding the recapture remained unclear.

Communications in Tigray have been severely disrupted, making it difficult for journalists and outside observers to independently verify developments on the ground. Neither the Ethiopian federal government nor the Tigray People's Liberation Front had immediately provided a definitive public account explaining exactly when or how the airport changed hands.

The uncertainty has added to concerns among civilians who are already dealing with the consequences of renewed fighting.

Mekelle is the political and administrative centre of Tigray and one of the most important cities in northern Ethiopia. Control of its airport has strategic importance because the facility provides a major connection between the region and the rest of the country.

Commercial flights to Mekelle had previously been suspended after Tigrayan fighters seized the airport on September 23.

The suspension disrupted an important transport link for residents, humanitarian organisations, business operators and travellers who rely on air services to enter or leave the region.

The reported return of the airport to federal control could therefore have consequences extending beyond its military significance.

If the airport can safely resume operations, it could eventually help restore movement of people and essential supplies. But the wider security situation remains too uncertain to assume that normal aviation operations will immediately return.

The latest fighting represents the most serious escalation in Tigray since the devastating 2020-2022 war between federal forces and the Tigray People's Liberation Front.

That conflict caused enormous human suffering, with large numbers of civilians killed, displaced or left without access to basic services.

A peace agreement signed in 2022 brought an end to the major fighting and created expectations that Tigray could begin a long process of recovery.

The renewed violence has now placed those gains under renewed pressure.

The conflict is also taking place against a background of worsening relations between Ethiopia and neighbouring Eritrea.

The relationship between the two countries has deteriorated significantly in recent months, with Ethiopia accusing Eritrea of supporting forces opposed to the federal government.

Eritrea has rejected such accusations.

Ethiopia recently ordered Eritrean diplomats to leave the country and announced the closure of its embassy in Asmara. Eritrea subsequently announced that it was severing diplomatic ties with Ethiopia.

The diplomatic breakdown has increased fears that the renewed fighting in Tigray could develop into a broader regional confrontation.

The Horn of Africa is already affected by several overlapping conflicts and political disputes. Sudan is experiencing its own devastating war, while tensions involving Ethiopia, Eritrea and other neighbouring countries have created additional uncertainty.

The possibility of a wider conflict is particularly concerning because Tigray lies in a strategically important part of the region.

The area is close to Ethiopia's borders with Eritrea and Sudan, while Ethiopia itself remains one of Africa's most populous countries and an important regional power.

Any prolonged conflict could therefore have consequences beyond Tigray.

The reported airport recapture also illustrates the rapidly changing military situation.

Tigrayan forces seized the airport during their offensive, while federal troops and allied forces subsequently launched a counteroffensive.

The airport's reported recapture represents a symbolic and practical setback for the Tigrayan forces because it removes an important piece of infrastructure from their control.

For the federal government, maintaining control of Mekelle and its airport would be strategically important.

For Tigrayan forces, however, the loss of the airport does not necessarily mean the end of their military campaign.

The conflict involves several armed groups and shifting alliances, making the situation more complicated than a simple contest between two forces.

Federal forces have reportedly been operating alongside allied Tigrayan fighters who previously opposed the TPLF.

This changing network of alliances reflects the deep political divisions that have developed in Ethiopia since the previous Tigray war.

The political dimension of the crisis is equally important.

The TPLF was once the dominant political force within Ethiopia's federal government before Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed came to power. Relations between the federal government and Tigrayan authorities eventually deteriorated into open conflict in 2020.

The 2022 peace agreement temporarily halted the war, but many of the political disagreements underlying the conflict were not completely resolved.

Questions surrounding regional autonomy, territorial control, political representation, security arrangements and relations with neighbouring countries continue to influence the crisis.

The latest escalation suggests that the peace process remains vulnerable.

Civilians are among those most affected by the renewed instability.

Residents of Mekelle have reported fear and uncertainty as competing forces contest control of the city and surrounding areas.

The possibility of looting is another concern when security arrangements break down.

Businesses and households can also face difficulties when telecommunications, banking services, transport and supply chains are disrupted.

The impact of the fighting is particularly serious because Tigray has not fully recovered from the previous war.

Many communities remain economically fragile, while humanitarian organisations continue to deal with the consequences of earlier displacement and destruction.

Renewed violence risks reversing the limited recovery that had taken place since the peace agreement.

The disruption of communications is another major concern.

Internet and mobile phone interruptions make it difficult for residents to communicate with relatives outside the region and make it harder for humanitarian organisations to assess needs.

For journalists and international observers, communications blackouts also create serious verification challenges.

This means that reports about territorial control, casualties and military movements must be treated carefully until independent confirmation becomes possible.

The lack of reliable information can also increase anxiety among civilians because rumours can spread rapidly when official information is limited.

The Ethiopian government has yet to provide a comprehensive public explanation of the reported airport recapture, while the TPLF has also not immediately issued a detailed account.

International organisations are watching the situation closely.

The African Union has previously urged restraint and called on the parties to respect the peace agreement.

The United States has also expressed concern about the renewed violence and warned that escalation could destabilise the wider Horn of Africa.

Diplomatic pressure is likely to increase if fighting continues.

The challenge for international mediators will be finding a way to prevent the renewed conflict from developing into another prolonged war.

The 2022 agreement demonstrated that a negotiated settlement is possible, but the latest fighting shows that political and security tensions remain unresolved.

The recapture of Mekelle airport could therefore become either a temporary military development or the beginning of a much broader campaign to restore federal control over the Tigray capital.

Much will depend on what happens around the city in the coming days.

If federal forces consolidate their positions and establish secure control over major infrastructure, the government could strengthen its position in negotiations and military operations.

If Tigrayan forces regroup and continue their resistance, the conflict could become prolonged.

Another major concern is the possibility that neighbouring countries could become more deeply involved.

Ethiopia has accused Eritrea, Sudan and Egypt of supporting opposition forces, allegations that the countries involved have denied.

Any direct involvement by neighbouring states could transform the conflict from a domestic Ethiopian confrontation into a broader regional crisis.

Such an outcome would threaten not only Ethiopia but also regional trade, humanitarian operations and security along the Red Sea corridor.

The international community therefore faces growing pressure to prevent escalation.

For residents of Mekelle, however, the immediate concern is much more personal.

They want security, functioning communications, access to food and fuel, reliable banking services, medical care and the freedom to move without fear of renewed fighting.

The airport itself is important because it represents a connection between Tigray and the outside world.

Its continued closure would deepen the isolation created by the conflict, while a safe reopening could provide an important humanitarian and economic lifeline.

But reopening the airport will depend on the security situation and the ability of authorities to guarantee safe operations.

The reported recapture of Alula Aba Nega Airport is therefore a major development, but it should not be interpreted as evidence that the conflict is ending.

The broader political and military confrontation remains unresolved.

The immediate priority for civilians and humanitarian organisations is preventing further displacement and ensuring that essential services remain available.

For Ethiopia's federal authorities and Tigrayan leaders, the longer-term challenge is returning to meaningful negotiations before the renewed fighting causes another humanitarian catastrophe.

The international community will also face the task of encouraging dialogue while discouraging neighbouring countries and external actors from deepening the confrontation.

The events surrounding Mekelle demonstrate how quickly Ethiopia's fragile peace can deteriorate when political disagreements, regional rivalries and unresolved security questions converge.

The reported return of the airport to federal control may represent an important shift in the military balance, but lasting stability will require more than control of strategic infrastructure.

It will require a renewed political process capable of addressing the grievances that contributed to the original conflict.

Until that happens, residents of Tigray remain exposed to the possibility of further fighting and uncertainty.

The latest development has once again placed Tigray at the centre of international attention and raised difficult questions about whether the 2022 peace agreement can survive the latest escalation.

For now, the situation remains fluid, with conflicting accounts and communication difficulties making it difficult to establish the full picture on the ground.

What is clear is that the reported recapture of Mekelle's airport represents a significant moment in Ethiopia's renewed conflict and another warning that peace in the region remains extremely fragile.